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      Calc Function

    • Calcs that help predict probability of a diseaseDiagnosis
    • Subcategory of 'Diagnosis' designed to be very sensitiveRule Out
    • Disease is diagnosed: prognosticate to guide treatmentPrognosis
    • Numerical inputs and outputsFormula
    • Med treatment and moreTreatment
    • Suggested protocolsAlgorithm





    Chief Complaint


    Organ System


    Patent Pending

    ASCVD (Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease) Risk Algorithm including Known ASCVD from AHA/ACC

    Determines 10-year risk of heart disease or stroke and provides statin recommendations.
    When to Use
    Why Use

    Patients at risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

    • In 2013 the American College of Cardiology (ACC) and the American Heart Association (AHA) released new guidelines for the evaluation and treatment of cholesterol in order to reduce the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).
    • This calculator provides a simplified way to follow the ASCVD treatment algorithm, which includes specific advice for patients with known ASCVD (defined as: history of ACS, MI, stable angina, coronary/other arterial revascularization, stroke, transient ischemic attack, or PAD from atherosclerosis) and patients with extreme LDL levels (≥190 mg/dL / 4.92 mmol/L).
    • The ASCVD Risk Calculator is only appropriate for patients without ASCVD and with LDL levels 70-189mg/dL (1.81-4.90 mmol/L).
    • The treatment algorithm proposed by the ACC/AHA suggests aggressive treatment for many patients, but specifically notes that patients with known ASCVD and patients with extreme LDL levels (≥190 mg/dL / 4.92 mmol/L) are at the highest risk; it also provides the “intensity” of statin treatment based on patients' predicted risk levels.

    Points to keep in mind:

    • While the score was developed and validated in a large population, several studies have suggested that the risk calculator substantially over-estimates 10-year risk. Some studies have suggested that its risk estimates are accurate.
    • Statins are highly emphasized in the guidelines and recommendations, but lifestyle modifications are likely just as – if not more – important to ASCVD risk.
    • Sometimes referred to as the Pooled Cohort Equation.

    The ASCVD Risk Algorithm is a standardized guideline to predict risk and recommend management strategies for those at risk of ASCVD.

    Step 1: High-Risk Criteria: History of ASCVD


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    Next Steps
    Creator Insights


    When Considering Starting Statins

    First, always engage in a clinician-patient discussion of the potential for ASCVD risk reduction, adverse effects, drug-drug interactions, and patient preferences. Consider:

    • Potential for ASCVD risk-reduction benefits.
    • Potential for adverse effects and drug-drug interactions.
    • Heart-healthy lifestyle.
    • Management of other risk factors.
    • Patient preferences.

    See Table 8 for safety recommendations about statin usage.

    Statin therapy is not routinely recommended for individuals with New York Heart Association class II to IV heart failure or who are receiving maintenance hemodialysis.

    When Considering or Using High-Intensity Statins

    The guidelines recommend the treating clinician consider:

    • Multiple or serious comorbidities, such as impaired renal or hepatic function.
    • A history of previous statin intolerance or muscle disorders.
    • Unexplained elevated levels of alanine transaminase greater than three times the upper limit of normal.
    • Patient characteristics or concomitant use of medications that affect statin metabolism.
    • Age older than 75 years.

    When Considering Other Groups for Aggressive Cholesterol-Lowering Medications Besides Those in the Risk Calculator

    The guidelines recommend the treating clinician consider patients with:

    • A primary LDL-C level of 160 mg per dL (4.14 mmol per L) or greater, or other evidence of genetic hyperlipidemias.
    • Family history of premature ASCVD before 55 years of age in a first-degree male relative or before 65 years of age in a first-degree female relative.
    • High-sensitivity C-reactive protein level of 2 mg per L (19.05 nmol per L) or greater.
    • Coronary artery calcium score of 300 Agatston units or greater, or being in the 75th percentile or greater for age, sex, and ethnicity.
    • Ankle-brachial index (ABI) less than 0.9.
    • Elevated lifetime risk of ASCVD.

    When Monitoring Statin Effects and Side Effects

    • Assess adherence, response to therapy, and adverse effects within 4 to 12 weeks following statin initiation or change in therapy.
    • Measure fasting lipid levels.
    • Do not routinely monitor alanine transaminase or creatine kinase levels unless symptomatic.
    • Screen and treat type 2 diabetes according to current practice guidelines; heart-healthy lifestyle habits should be encouraged to prevent progression to diabetes.
    About the Creator
    Dr. David Goff
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