MDCalc

Hypothermia Outcome Prediction after ECLS (HOPE) Score

Predicts survival following rewarming of hypothermic cardiac arrest patients.

Special considerations:

  • Hypothermia should be considered the likely cause of cardiac arrest in avalanche victims buried >60 minutes with a witnessed cardiac arrest; calculate the score using the non-asphyxia scenario in these cases. 
  • If there is any doubt that a fully buried avalanche victim was asphyxiated, using the non-asphyxia scenario minimizes the risk of underestimating post-rewarming survival.

Sex

Hypothermia with asphyxia

years
min

Result:

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Advice
  • No prediction tool should dictate management in isolation; always integrate clinical judgment and clinical context.
  • Consult relevant local and specialty guidelines for more detailed management of hypothermia and hypothermic cardiac arrest, such as:
    • Wilderness Medicine Society.
    • International Commission for Mountain Emergency Medicine.
    • European Resuscitation Council.
    • American Heart Association.
Management

Survival probability <10%:

  • ECLS is unlikely to confer benefit; consider withholding ECLS if no other favorable factors are present.
  • Discuss goals of care with family and/or caregivers.
  • Transition to conventional rewarming and prognostically-guided resuscitation measures.

Survival probability ≥10%:

  • Notify an ECLS-capable center.
  • Activate or continue ECLS rewarming protocol (may be institution-specific).
  • Maintain high-quality mechanical or manual CPR, warmed IV fluids, and insulating measures while cannulation and/or transport is arranged.
Critical Actions
  • Alert an ECLS-capable center as soon as it becomes clear that transfer may be necessary.
  • Clearly document the clinical rationale and all variables that guided decisions.